1Department of Urology, Yonsei University Wonju College of Medicine, Wonju, Korea
2Institute of Evidence-Based Medicine, Yonsei University Wonju College of Medicine, Wonju, Korea
3Department of Urology, Soonchunhyang University Seoul Hospital, Soonchunhyang University College of Medicine, Seoul, Korea
4Department of Urology, Chungbuk National University College of Medicine, Cheongju, Korea
5Department of Urology, Pusan National University Hospital, Busan, Korea
6Department of Urology, Daegu Catholic University School of Medicine, Daegu, Korea
7Department of Urology, College of Medicine, Konyang University, Daejeon, Korea
8Department of Urology, Chonnam National University Hwasun Hospital, Chonnam National University Medical School, Hwasun, Korea
Copyright © 2020, Korean Association of Urogenital Tract Infection and Inflammation. All rights reserved.
This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution Non-Commercial License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0) which permits unrestricted non-commercial use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
심혈관질환이 의심되는 환자에서, 심혈관에 대한 다중 나선식 전산화 단층촬영은 고식적 혈관조영술을 대체하는 진단법으로서 위음성과 연관된 심혈관 부작용을 낮추고 위양성과 연관된 불필요한 치료 및 그로 인한 부작용을 낮출 수 있는가? |
This article is the secondary publication (complete translation in Korean) of the article originally published in the BMJ in English (Grading quality of evidence and strength of recommendations for diagnostic tests and strategies. 2008;336:1106-10). The Editor-in-Chief of Urogenital Tract Infection decided to publish this secondary publication for the reader’s sake, and it was approved by the BMJ. The BMJ Publishing Group takes no responsibility for the accuracy of the translation from the published English language original and is not liable for any errors that may occur.
CONFLICT OF INTEREST
No potential conflict of interest relevant to this article was reported.
AUTHOR CONTRIBUTIONS
J.H.J.: contacting BMJ editorial office to get the approval, translating the article, and drafting the manuscript, D.K.K, J.Y.K., H.J.J., and H.W.K.: helping to translate and draft the manuscript, E.C.H.: helping to translate and draft the manuscript, and final approval.
Adapted from the article of Schünemann et al. BMJ 2008;336:1106-10 [12].
See Appendix 1 (complete translate in Korean).
Adapted from the article of Schünemann et al. BMJ 2008;336:1106-10 [12].
See Appendix 2 (complete translate in Korean).
Measure | Test finding (95% confidence Interval) |
---|---|
Pooled sensitivity | 0.96 (0.94 to 0.98) |
Pooled specificity | 0.74 (0.065 to 0.84) |
Positive likelihood ratiob) | 5.4 (3.4 to 8.3) |
Negative likelihood ratiob) | 0.05 (0.03 to 0.09) |
a)Assuming that the reference standard, angiography, does not yield false positives or false negatives. b)Average likelihood ratios from Hamon et al. [5]. Adapted from the article of Schünemann et al. BMJ 2008; 336:1106-10 [12].
See Appendix 3 (complete translate in Korean).
Consequences | No. per 1,000 patients | Importanceb) |
---|---|---|
True-positive resultsc) | 192 | 8 |
True-negative resultsd) | 592 | 8 |
False-positive resultse) | 208 | 7 |
False-negative resultsf) | 8 | 9 |
Inconclusive resultsg),i) | – | 5 |
Complicationsh),i) | – | 5 |
Costi) | – | 5 |
All results given per 1,000 patients tested for the prevalence of 20% and likelihood ratios shown in Table 3.
a)Assuming that the reference standard, angiography, does not yield false positives or false negatives. b)On a 9 point scale, GRADE recommends classifying these outcomes as not important (score 1-3), important (4-6), and critical (7-9) to a decision. c)Important because it mandates drugs, angioplasty, stents, and bypass surgery. d)Important because it spares patients unnecessary interventions associated with adverse effects. e)Important because patients are exposed to unnecessary potential adverse effects from drugs and invasive procedures. f)Important because of the increased risk of coronary events as a result of patients not receiving efficacious treatment. g)Uninterpretable, indeterminate, or intermediate test results: important because they generate anxiety, uncertainty as to how to proceed, further testing, and possible negative consequences of either treating or not treating. h)Not reliably reported, important because although rare, they can be serious. i)Although the data for these consequences are not reported for simplicity, or because they are not known precisely based on the available data, they are important.
Adapted from the article of Schünemann et al. BMJ 2008;336:1106-10 [12].
See Appendix 4 (complete translate in Korean).
No of studies | Design | Limitations | Indirectness | Inconsistency | Imprecise data | Publication bias | Quality |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
True positives (patients with coronary artery disease) | |||||||
21 studies (1,570 patients) | Cross-sectional studiesb) | No serious limitations | Little or no uncertainty | Serious inconsistencyd) | No serious imprecision | Unlikelye) | ⊕⊕⊕○ |
Moderate | |||||||
True negatives (patients without coronary artery disease) | |||||||
21 studies (1,570 patients) | Cross-sectional studiesb) | No serious limitations | Little or no uncertainty | Serious inconsistencyd) | No serious imprecision | Unlikelye) | ⊕⊕⊕○ |
Moderate | |||||||
False positives (patients incorrectly classified as having coronary artery disease) | |||||||
21 studies (1,570 patients) | Cross-sectional studiesb) | No serious limitations | Little or no uncertainty | Serious inconsistencyd) | No serious imprecision | Unlikelye) | ⊕⊕⊕○ |
Moderate | |||||||
False positives (patients incorrectly classified as having coronary artery disease) | |||||||
21 studies (1,570 patients) | Cross-sectional studiesb) | No serious limitations | Some uncertaintyc) | Serious inconsistencyd) | No serious imprecision | Unlikelye) | ⊕⊕○○ |
Low |
a)Full quality assessment would include a row for the outcomes important to patients associated with each possible test result (true positive, true negative, false positive, false negative, and inconclusive) as well as complications and costs of the test (see table 3); simplified summary of the quality of evidence for critical outcomes presented here. b)All patients were selected to have conventional coronary angiography and generally presented with a high probability of coronary artery disease (median prevalence in included studies 63.5%, range 6.6-100%). c)Some uncertainty about directness for false negatives related to the detrimental effects of delayed diagnosis or myocardial insult, reducing the quality of evidence for consequences of false-negative test results from high to moderate. d)Statistically significant, unexplained heterogeneity of results for sensitivity (proportion of patients with positive coronary angiography with positive computed tomography scan), specificity (proportion of patients with negative coronary angiography with negative computed tomography scan), likelihood ratios, and diagnostic odds ratios, reducing the quality of evidence for consequences of true positive, true negative, and false-positive results from high to moderate and of false-negative results from moderate to low. e)Possibility of publication bias not excluded but not considered sufficient to downgrade the quality of evidence.
Adapted from the article of Schünemann et al. BMJ 2008;336:1106-10 [12].
See Appendix 5 (complete translate in Korean).
심혈관질환이 의심되는 환자에서, 심혈관에 대한 다중 나선식 전산화 단층촬영은 고식적 혈관조영술을 대체하는 진단법으로서 위음성과 연관된 심혈관 부작용을 낮추고 위양성과 연관된 불필요한 치료 및 그로 인한 부작용을 낮출 수 있는가? |
Example of a new test and reference test or strategy | Putative benefit of new test | Diagnostic accuracy | Patients’ outcomes and expected impact on management | Balance between presumed outcomes, test complications, and cost | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
|||||||
Sensitivity | Specificity | True positives | True negatives | False positives | False negatives | |||
Shorter version of the dementia test compared with the original mini-mental state exam for diagnosis of dementia | Simpler test, less time | Equal | Equal | Presumed influence on patient-important outcomes: | Evidence of a shorter time and similar test accuracy (and thus patients’ outcomes) would generally support the usefulness of new tests | |||
Uncertain benefit from earlier diagnosis and treatment | Almost certain benefit from reassurance | Likely anxiety and possible morbidity from additional testing and treatment | Possible detriment from delayed diagnosis | |||||
Directness of evidence (test results) for outcomes important to patients: | ||||||||
Some uncertainty | No uncertainty | Some uncertainty | Major uncertainty | |||||
Helical computed tomography for renal calculus compared to intravenous pyelogram (IVP) | Detection of more (but smaller) calculi | Greater | Equal | Presumed influence on patient-important outcomes: | Fewer complications and downsides compared with IVP would support the usefulness of the new tests, but the balance between desirable and undesirable effects is unclear in view of uncertain consequences of identifying smaller stones | |||
Certain benefit for larger stones; less clear benefit for smaller stones, and unnecessary treatment can result | Almost certain benefit from avoiding unnecessary tests | Likely detriment from unnecessary additional invasive tests | Likely detrimental for large stones; less certain for small stones, but possible detriment from unnecessary additional invasive tests for other potential causes of complaints | |||||
Directness of evidence (test results) for outcomes important to patients: | ||||||||
Some uncertainty | No uncertainty | No uncertainty | Major uncertainty | |||||
Computed tomography for coronary artery disease compared to coronary angiography | Less invasive testing, but misses some cases | Slightly less | Less | Presumed influence on patient-important outcomes: | Undesirable consequences of more false positives and false negatives with computed tomography are unacceptable despite the higher rate of rare complications (infarction and death) and higher cost of angiography | |||
Benefit from treatment and fewer complications | Benefit from reassurance and fewer complications | Harm from unnecessary treatment | Detriment from delayed diagnosis or myocardial insult | |||||
Directness of evidence (test results) for outcomes important to patients: | ||||||||
No uncertainty | No uncertainty | No uncertainty | Some uncertainty |
Adapted from the article of Schünemann et al. BMJ 2008;336:1106-10 [
See
Factors that determine and can decrease the quality of evidence | Explanations and differences from the quality of evidence for other interventions |
---|---|
Study design | Different criteria for accuracy studies—Cross-sectional or cohort studies in patients with diagnostic uncertainty and a direct comparison of the test results with an appropriate reference standard are considered high quality and can move to moderate, low, or very low depending on other factors |
Limitations (risk of bias) | Different criteria for accuracy studies—Consecutive patients should be recruited as a single cohort and not classified by disease state, and selection, as well as the referral process, should be described clearly.tests should be done in all patients in the same patient population for the new test and well-described reference standard; the evaluators should be blind to the results of the alternative test and reference standard |
Indirectness: | |
Outcomes | Similar criteria—Panels assessing diagnostic tests often face an absence of direct evidence regarding the impact on patient-important outcomes. They must make deductions from studies of diagnostic tests about the balance between the presumed influences on the patient-important outcomes of any differences in true and false positives and true and false negatives in relation to complications and costs of the test. Therefore, accuracy studies typically provide low-quality evidence for making recommendations owing to the indirectness of the outcomes, similar to surrogate outcomes for treatments |
Patient populations, diagnostic test, comparison test, and indirect comparisons | Similar criteria—Quality of evidence can be reduced if important differences exist between the populations studied and those for whom the recommendation is intended (in previous testing, spectrum of disease or comorbidity); if important differences exist in the tests studied and diagnostic expertise of people applying them in studies compared to settings for which recommendations are intended; or if the tests being compared are each compared with a reference (gold) standard in different studies and not directly compared in same studies |
Important inconsistency in study results | Similar criteria—For accuracy studies, unexplained inconsistency in sensitivity, specificity, or likelihood ratios (rather than relative risk or mean differences) can reduce the quality of evidence |
Imprecise evidence | Similar criteria—For accuracy studies, wide confidence intervals for the estimates of test accuracy or true and false positive and negative rates can reduce the quality of evidence |
High probability of publication bias | Similar criteria—High risk of publication bias (for example, evidence from small studies for new intervention or test, or asymmetry in the funnel plot) can lower the quality of evidence |
Adapted from the article of Schünemann et al. BMJ 2008;336:1106-10 [
See
Measure | Test finding (95% confidence Interval) |
---|---|
Pooled sensitivity | 0.96 (0.94 to 0.98) |
Pooled specificity | 0.74 (0.065 to 0.84) |
Positive likelihood ratio |
5.4 (3.4 to 8.3) |
Negative likelihood ratio |
0.05 (0.03 to 0.09) |
a)Assuming that the reference standard, angiography, does not yield false positives or false negatives. b)Average likelihood ratios from Hamon et al. [
See
Consequences | No. per 1,000 patients | Importance |
---|---|---|
True-positive results |
192 | 8 |
True-negative results |
592 | 8 |
False-positive results |
208 | 7 |
False-negative results |
8 | 9 |
Inconclusive results |
– | 5 |
Complications |
– | 5 |
Cost |
– | 5 |
All results given per 1,000 patients tested for the prevalence of 20% and likelihood ratios shown in
a)Assuming that the reference standard, angiography, does not yield false positives or false negatives. b)On a 9 point scale, GRADE recommends classifying these outcomes as not important (score 1-3), important (4-6), and critical (7-9) to a decision. c)Important because it mandates drugs, angioplasty, stents, and bypass surgery. d)Important because it spares patients unnecessary interventions associated with adverse effects. e)Important because patients are exposed to unnecessary potential adverse effects from drugs and invasive procedures. f)Important because of the increased risk of coronary events as a result of patients not receiving efficacious treatment. g)Uninterpretable, indeterminate, or intermediate test results: important because they generate anxiety, uncertainty as to how to proceed, further testing, and possible negative consequences of either treating or not treating. h)Not reliably reported, important because although rare, they can be serious. i)Although the data for these consequences are not reported for simplicity, or because they are not known precisely based on the available data, they are important.
Adapted from the article of Schünemann et al. BMJ 2008;336:1106-10 [
See
No of studies | Design | Limitations | Indirectness | Inconsistency | Imprecise data | Publication bias | Quality |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
True positives (patients with coronary artery disease) | |||||||
21 studies (1,570 patients) | Cross-sectional studies |
No serious limitations | Little or no uncertainty | Serious inconsistency |
No serious imprecision | Unlikely |
⊕⊕⊕○ |
Moderate | |||||||
True negatives (patients without coronary artery disease) | |||||||
21 studies (1,570 patients) | Cross-sectional studies |
No serious limitations | Little or no uncertainty | Serious inconsistency |
No serious imprecision | Unlikely |
⊕⊕⊕○ |
Moderate | |||||||
False positives (patients incorrectly classified as having coronary artery disease) | |||||||
21 studies (1,570 patients) | Cross-sectional studies |
No serious limitations | Little or no uncertainty | Serious inconsistency |
No serious imprecision | Unlikely |
⊕⊕⊕○ |
Moderate | |||||||
False positives (patients incorrectly classified as having coronary artery disease) | |||||||
21 studies (1,570 patients) | Cross-sectional studies |
No serious limitations | Some uncertainty |
Serious inconsistency |
No serious imprecision | Unlikely |
⊕⊕○○ |
Low |
a)Full quality assessment would include a row for the outcomes important to patients associated with each possible test result (true positive, true negative, false positive, false negative, and inconclusive) as well as complications and costs of the test (see table 3); simplified summary of the quality of evidence for critical outcomes presented here. b)All patients were selected to have conventional coronary angiography and generally presented with a high probability of coronary artery disease (median prevalence in included studies 63.5%, range 6.6-100%). c)Some uncertainty about directness for false negatives related to the detrimental effects of delayed diagnosis or myocardial insult, reducing the quality of evidence for consequences of false-negative test results from high to moderate. d)Statistically significant, unexplained heterogeneity of results for sensitivity (proportion of patients with positive coronary angiography with positive computed tomography scan), specificity (proportion of patients with negative coronary angiography with negative computed tomography scan), likelihood ratios, and diagnostic odds ratios, reducing the quality of evidence for consequences of true positive, true negative, and false-positive results from high to moderate and of false-negative results from moderate to low. e)Possibility of publication bias not excluded but not considered sufficient to downgrade the quality of evidence.
Adapted from the article of Schünemann et al. BMJ 2008;336:1106-10 [
See
Adapted from the article of Schünemann et al. BMJ 2008;336:1106-10 [ See
Adapted from the article of Schünemann et al. BMJ 2008;336:1106-10 [ See
a)Assuming that the reference standard, angiography, does not yield false positives or false negatives. b)Average likelihood ratios from Hamon et al. [ See
All results given per 1,000 patients tested for the prevalence of 20% and likelihood ratios shown in a)Assuming that the reference standard, angiography, does not yield false positives or false negatives. b)On a 9 point scale, GRADE recommends classifying these outcomes as not important (score 1-3), important (4-6), and critical (7-9) to a decision. c)Important because it mandates drugs, angioplasty, stents, and bypass surgery. d)Important because it spares patients unnecessary interventions associated with adverse effects. e)Important because patients are exposed to unnecessary potential adverse effects from drugs and invasive procedures. f)Important because of the increased risk of coronary events as a result of patients not receiving efficacious treatment. g)Uninterpretable, indeterminate, or intermediate test results: important because they generate anxiety, uncertainty as to how to proceed, further testing, and possible negative consequences of either treating or not treating. h)Not reliably reported, important because although rare, they can be serious. i)Although the data for these consequences are not reported for simplicity, or because they are not known precisely based on the available data, they are important. Adapted from the article of Schünemann et al. BMJ 2008;336:1106-10 [ See
a)Full quality assessment would include a row for the outcomes important to patients associated with each possible test result (true positive, true negative, false positive, false negative, and inconclusive) as well as complications and costs of the test (see table 3); simplified summary of the quality of evidence for critical outcomes presented here. b)All patients were selected to have conventional coronary angiography and generally presented with a high probability of coronary artery disease (median prevalence in included studies 63.5%, range 6.6-100%). c)Some uncertainty about directness for false negatives related to the detrimental effects of delayed diagnosis or myocardial insult, reducing the quality of evidence for consequences of false-negative test results from high to moderate. d)Statistically significant, unexplained heterogeneity of results for sensitivity (proportion of patients with positive coronary angiography with positive computed tomography scan), specificity (proportion of patients with negative coronary angiography with negative computed tomography scan), likelihood ratios, and diagnostic odds ratios, reducing the quality of evidence for consequences of true positive, true negative, and false-positive results from high to moderate and of false-negative results from moderate to low. e)Possibility of publication bias not excluded but not considered sufficient to downgrade the quality of evidence. Adapted from the article of Schünemann et al. BMJ 2008;336:1106-10 [ See